Showing posts with label Armenian genocide. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Armenian genocide. Show all posts

Friday, March 5, 2010

Morality: 1; Pragmatism: 0

The House Foreign Affairs Committee on a close 23-22 vote struck a blow for morality. At the same time it kicked the pragmatic considerations of foreign relations in the crotch.

The subject was Armenia. Or, more accurately, the definition of what happened to Armenians at the hands of the Ottoman Empire and Army during World War I. The position taken by the committee was the killing of a very large but uncertain number of Armenian Christians by the Muslim Ottoman troops in 1915 constituted an act of "genocide." The Turks allow that the mass murder happened but reject the applicability of the word adopted by the committee.

President Obama, Secretary of State Clinton, and other heavyweights of the foreign policy/national security community argued against the resolution which instructs the president to use the "G" word in describing the events of eighty-five years ago. They contended, properly, that offending Turkey was most inapposite given the crucial role the country is playing in a number of very high profile foreign matters including Iran, the Mideast peace process, north Iraq, and Afghanistan.

Mere pragmatism cut no ice particularly with the committee's chairman, Howard Berman, whose district includes a number of wealthy and well-placed individuals of Armenian ancestry. He made some soothing noises about Turkey being a "vital" ally but averred that this does not allow us "to turn a blind eye to Armenian genocide."

To say the action by the Foreign Affairs Committee outraged the Turks is to engage in a form of understatement. Ankara recalled its ambassador as the last vote was entered. Other moves are as certain as a cat coveting catnip. The Turks can prove remarkably uncooperative when motivated. And, they have a legion of ways in which to show this ability in the near term including a "no" vote on Security Council sanctions or imposing bottlenecks on US lines of supply into northern Iraq.

As an unintended consequence of the vote the warming relations between Turkey and Armenia may well be put back into the deep freeze. This would have more and more negative effect on the Armenians than upon the Turks. Apparently even this sort of pragmatic consideration is a non-starter for the sanctimonious Mr Berman and his Armenian supporters.

The Ottoman army killings of Armenian Christians--as well as Mideast Jews and Christians--in WW I constitute both a black mark on the decaying Ottoman regime and a case which demonstrates that in foreign policy as in the law, "hard cases make bad law," or at least bad choices.

The Ottoman Army had a very cavalier attitude toward the lives of civilians. This perspective became even more pronounced in effect when the civilians in question were not Muslim. The Ottoman Army and regime showed this lamentable and condemnable attitude most markedly when hard pressed by an enemy in war.

Importantly the massacres of Armenians, like those of Jews and Christians in Palestine, came as the Ottoman Army was being pushed back by foreign forces. Massacres seemed to be a sort of default response to military defeat.

This prompts the question: To what extent was the Armenian mass killing the consequence of central government policy as opposed to the actions of field commanders of the army? If it was the result of a formal government policy, an equivalent of the "final solution" as outlined at the Wansee Conference, then the use of the word "genocide" is both accurate and fully justified. If not, it follows that the word is inappropriately, even insultingly employed.

Taner Akcam, a historian specializing in Turkish history considers that it is not unfair to call the Armenian holocaust genocide as he argues in his book, A Shameful Act. Despite the careful and comprehensive nature of this work, in the end the Scots verdict must apply: Not Proven.

The central government, it is certain, did want to remove Armenians from the combat zone being persuaded they constituted a hostile Fifth Column. The Sultan and his men did not, however, either order or authorize the mass killings of civilians. Rather it appears that the killing by both acts of omission of food, shelter, and medical treatment as well as active commission happened due to the decisions and inadequacies of army commanders and local civilian satraps.

In short, removal of Armenians was a government policy. The killings were not. Arguably the officials in Istanbul should have foreseen the high probability of mass murder or, at the very least, the even higher probability of mass death resulting from the forced movement of large numbers of civilians of all ages in exceptionally harsh and primitive conditions.

They did not as is evidenced by the death toll. But, that does not constitute genocide which is understood to be defined as an act of official governmental policy. The Armenian massacres were tantamount to genocide but did not cross the line established so starkly by the Nazis at Wansee and elsewhere.

All of this historical assessment is foundation for concluding that the House Foreign Affairs Committee was wrong. Wrong historically. Wrong pragmatically. Equating what happened to the Armenians at the hands of the Ottomans with what happened to the Jews during the Nazi years as Mr Berman did is not justified.

Armenians, or those of Armenian descent, may feel better if their losses eighty-five years back are put on the same plane of moral repugnance as those suffered by Jews during the Holocaust but that is insufficient reason to put key American foreign policies at risk. The reward of feeling good is not worth the costs, very real costs, which Turkey can and will impose on the US.

The current government of Turkey it must be recalled has its roots in an Islamist political party and tilts strongly toward the pole of political Islam today. Like many Muslims--and all Islamists--the AKP as well as Messrs Erdogan and Gul are ready, willing, and able to take offense at the House Committee's action. They are equally willing to see the act as being one more salvo in the broader war of the West with Islam.

It does no good, as apologists for the committee's vote have, to note that the French government declared the acts against the Armenians to be genocide back in 2001 without any lasting ill effect upon bilateral relations. Today is not 2001. Much has changed since then--including the AKP's rise to power. The apologists are otiose at best not to acknowledge this reality.

In 2007 the House Foreign Affairs Committee took the same action. The Turks withdrew their ambassador and uttered not-so-veiled threats. President W. Bush quickly intervened with the result the full House did not pass the resolution.

It is to be hoped that President Obama can do the same. He probably has that good intention. Whether he has the guts and the clout to turn intention into effect remains to be seen, but he must know that failure to do so will buy a lot of bad road for the US and its foreign policy.

Sunday, October 14, 2007

Nancy Pelosi Doesn't Know Any Combat Grunts!

Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi is hell bent on making the murky waters of both Iraq and Turkey all the more muddy. She and her comrade Sten Hoyer are bound and determined to see the resolution condemning Turkey for "genocide" committed during World War I against the Armenians regardless of the consequences to US interests or US troops in 2007.

The Geek has already registered his opposition to this piece of feel-good tripe on several grounds. First, it is historically inaccurate as it fails to account for the context both political and military surrounding the forced expulsion of Armenians from eastern Anatolia including the deaths of thousands. Second, the proposed House Resolution fails to note that Turkey is a successor state to the Ottoman Empire, which was the polity that undertook the expulsion and persecution. Third, and most important, the action exacerbates the situation in which Turkey finds itself today with respect to the Kurdish guerrilla group, the Kurdish Workers Party (PKK), which has been waging defensive insurgency in southern Turkey for over twenty years at a great cost in Turkish lives.

She and others in the House have blown off the legitimate concerns expressed by SecDef Gates regarding continued access to air bases and roads important to the conduct of US combat operations in Iraq. Her determination to press ahead is so great that she and her ilk are willing to put American lives at increased risk.

Voice of America http://www.voanews.com/english/2007-10-14-voa20.cfm, quotes her as saying, "I tell you this. Some of the things that are harmful to our troops relate to values, Abu Ghraib, Guantanamo, torture, all of those issues about who we are as a country. And I think that our troops are well served when we declare who we are as a country and increase the respect that people have for us as a nation."

Fine sentiment, the Geek is sure.

But, he has to ask, so what?

Combat grunts are remarkably unconcerned with sentiment when someone is shooting at them or trying to rip their brains out with a roadside bomb. What they care about is a lot more basic. Am I getting the support I need to do my job--and come home in one piece, not several, packed in a fiberglass box?

The death of Armenians nearly a century ago in the midst of a collapsing empire facing invasion on no less than four fronts is massively irrelevant to our troops in Iraq today. So, Speaker Pelosi, don't try to hide behind the shield of doing something which "well serves our troops."

Also, Madam Speaker, don't try to pretend that this resolution will somehow assure the world concerning our values and goals. The current administration has cast sufficient doubt upon those with its invasion of Iraq.

Our values will be far more effectively announced to the world by our cleaning up the mess in Iraq than by all the phony baloney resolutions that congress might crank out. Our values are demonstrated by what we do--not by House Resolutions.

It doesn't matter if we are the first or the twenty-fourth country to make some sort of resolution regarding the Ottoman Empire's treatment of their resident Armenian population. Perhaps these other countries did not have national interests in play in the region. They weren't waging wars in Iraq. They weren't facing the complication of a potential Turkish invasion of the Kurdish region of Iraq.

Oh, Speaker Pelosi, what happened in Rwanda and is happening in Darfur is not genocide. To be genocide the action must be state sponsored, state executed extermination directed against an identifiable racial, ethnic, or religious minority living within the territory effectively controlled by that state. Rwanda, Darfur, the Armenians in the Ottoman Empire, none of these were or are genocide. They were and are mass killings.

Quit cheapening the language, Ms Pelosi. Stop distorting history, Speaker. And, more than anything else, don't pretend you are doing something good for our troops in Iraq when all you are actually doing is putting them in harm's way.

Wednesday, October 10, 2007

Domestic Politics and Foreign Policy Don't Mix!

The Democrats in Congress seem hell-bent on proving one more time that one very important lesson of history still holds true. Playing domestic politics with an important foreign policy consideration is a very, very bad idea--no matter how well it may play with the folks back home.

House majority leader Steny Hoyer has blown off the serious and well founded objections of SecDef Gates and SecStat Rice to the passage of a resolution declaring the killing of Armenians by the Turkish military between 1915 and 1923 as "genocide." Mr Hoyer (who has no direct experience with foreign policy to the Geek's knowledge) dismissed the warnings of Gates and Rice regarding serious damage to US national security interests as a mere "blip."

Get a grip, Mr Hoyer!

This is a hot button, maybe the hot button issue with the Turks both in government and on the street. Passage of this ill-considered feel-good measure would injure the US relations with Turkey not only today but into the future. Congress should bear in mind just how critical Turkey has been and will continue to be in US policy calculations in the region.

Congress should also keep in mind just how poorly the US has treated Turkey over the years. Years ago we tilted against Turkey in the conflict with Greece over Cyprus. More recently we have not shown anything approximating even-handedness as the conflict has re-emerged now centering on Cypriot development of off-shore oil fields.

We have leaned heavily on the Turks not to pursue an oil and gas pipeline development project with Tehran. We have interfered with Turkey's legitimate right to self-defense against the Kurdish insurgent group, the Kurdish Workers Party (PKK). We got ourselves in a totally unnecessary snit over Ankara's unwillingness to allow us to use Turkish bases for a part of of our 2003 invasion of Iraq.

Overall, it is not surprising that in a recent international poll, Turks showed the lowest approval rate of the United States of all countries--something on the order of nine percent. It is not surprising that the same poll showed a significant number of Turks believed that the US was cranking up an invasion directed against them!

We need Turkey as a close, willing, and effective partner in the Second Cold War--the struggle against Islamism. We need Turkey as a close, willing, and effective partner in our effort to clean up our mess in Iraq and leave a functioning state in our wake as we leave. We even need to look to Turkey as the only likely locus for a true Islamic reformation--a melding of timeless Islam with the realities of the world today and into the future.

There is a lot more at stake in Turkey than merely access to our bases. There is a lot more at stake in Turkey than the immediate course of events in Iraq, or even in the region. Turkey is a key player in most of our concerns throughout the Mideast and Islamic areas.

Politicians may only want to keep the folks back home happy and in a voting mood. That's how the word bunk, deriving from the earlier bunkum, entered the American dictionary. One hundred fifty or so years ago there was a congresswallah from North Carolina who made speeches about one absurdity after another and who spoke in opposition to measures for which he voted. When asked why, the man answered, "It's for the folks in Buncomb county."

Bunk--that's a good word for the fancy speeches of those who support the counterproductive, nationally self-destructive, feel-good resolution on Armenian genocide. Rather than voting for these critters who wish to apply a word that has become dangerously overused in recent years, the people back home in the various "Buncomb counties" of this country should toss the gripless, brain-dead purported representatives out.

Of course that won't happen. Bunkum always sells well. It helps on election day. And, it only hurts our nation's interests and future.

So, why worry?